题目信息
Meteorologists say that if only they could design an accurate mathematical model of the atmosphere with all its complexities, they could forecast the weather with real precision. But this is an idle boast, immune to any evaluation, for any inadequate weather forecast would obviously be blamed on imperfections in the model.
Which of the following, if true, could best be used as a basis for arguing against the author's position that the meteorologists' claim cannot be evaluated?
Which of the following, if true, could best be used as a basis for arguing against the author's position that the meteorologists' claim cannot be evaluated?
A:Certain unusual configurations of data can serve as the basis for precise weather forecasts, even though the exact causal mechanisms are not understood.
B:Most significant gains in the accuracy of the relevant mathematical models are accompanied by clear gains in the precision of weather forecasts.
C:Mathematical models of the meteorological aftermath of such catastrophic events as volcanic eruptions are beginning to be constructed.
D:Modern weather forecasts for as much as a full day ahead are broadly correct about 80 percent of the time.
E:Meteorologists readily concede that the accurate mathematical model they are talking about is not now in their power to construct.
参考答案及共享解析

共享解析来源为网络权威资源、GMAT高分考生等; 如有疑问,欢迎在评论区提问与讨论
本题耗时:
已选答案:
正确答案:
B:Most significant gains in the accuracy of the relevant mathematical models are accompanied by clear gains in the precision of weather forecasts.
221.答案B
题目类型:削弱题。
题目大意:气象学家说,只要他们能够设计出一个具有复杂性的精确的大气数学模型,就可以真正准确地预测天气。 但这并不容易实现,即使不进行任何评估,因为任何天气预报不足都会被归咎于模型的不完善。
题目逻辑:要反驳模型不能建立的观点,就要在核心逻辑上论述模型可以完善、数据可以被收集。
A.部分数据可以提供帮助,支持程度没有B强烈。
B.说明数据的精确度和模型的完善是相伴相生的,正确。
C.提出了无关选项,从火山爆发模型到天气预测模型的数据逻辑链过长,错误。
D.无关选项,错误,
该选项支持了题目的观点,而非削弱,排除。
题目类型:削弱题。
题目大意:气象学家说,只要他们能够设计出一个具有复杂性的精确的大气数学模型,就可以真正准确地预测天气。 但这并不容易实现,即使不进行任何评估,因为任何天气预报不足都会被归咎于模型的不完善。
题目逻辑:要反驳模型不能建立的观点,就要在核心逻辑上论述模型可以完善、数据可以被收集。
A.部分数据可以提供帮助,支持程度没有B强烈。
B.说明数据的精确度和模型的完善是相伴相生的,正确。
C.提出了无关选项,从火山爆发模型到天气预测模型的数据逻辑链过长,错误。
D.无关选项,错误,
该选项支持了题目的观点,而非削弱,排除。


题目来源